Friday is starting showery again as the far outer bands of Tropical Storm Fay continue to pump a bunch of tropical moisture into the region. Live SuperDoppler 5000 below still shows a lot of wet weather rolling into the Georgia coastline, which has led to flooding in many locations south of Savannah.

(Live Super Doppler 5000 - WCSC TV, Charleston SC)

The rain and storms could continue to rotate onshore during the day today as Fay continues her slow westward march across northern Florida. The lastest plots show that as of 8am she was near Gainesville, Florida, home of the Univ. of Florida. The latest forecast path below shows Fay moving westward toward the Florida gulf coast and the Alabama beaches by the end of the weekend. The QPF rainfall charts show that some areas near the center could get over an additional 20″ of rain!

(NHC 3 Day Tropical Forecast Map - Image Courtesy: NOAA/NHC)

(NCEP HPC 5 Day Rainfall Forecast - Image Courtesy: NOAA/HPC)

There is really no doubt that Fay will have officially soaked every square inch of the State of Florida. Some parts of south Alabama and SW Georgia are on their way it looks to dealing with lots of freshwater flooding. This should help wipe out any drought over the Dixie States as the weekend approaches. Just know that if you have to travel west, its going to be windy and wet!

MORE TROPICAL TROUBLE AHEAD?

(Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook - Image Courtesy: NOAA/NHC)

Just as soon as we can move Fay out we have to readjust our attention back to the Atlantic as two more areas are poised to develop. Invest 94L and 95L both bear watching as the National Hurricane Center are giving both of them an Medium Chance of development over the next 2-3 days. 94L is the one of most concern as several of the global models forecast the development of a significant hurricane in about 5-7 days. The CMC (Canadian Model) and the ECMWF (European Model) bring the storm toward the Bahamas at the end of the cycle.

CMC Model - Click For Larger Image

ECMWF Model - Click For Larger Image

This bears watching as high pressure over the New England states at that time might try and turn the systems, if they develop, back toward the southeast coast. The latest model forecast plots below show a path very similar to what Fay just took over a week ago!

(94L Computer Forecast Models - Image Courtesy: Weather Underground)

This will be something that we will watch over the weekend along with the lingering rain from Fay.

Have a good Saturday and Sunday and try to stay dry!

Chad Watson
Live 5 Meteorologist

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