Archive for the 'Forecast Discussion' Category

Aug 11 2008

Quiet, But Still Hot

Not much change in the forecast for Monday.  We’ll see a day much like we saw on Sunday with highs in the low 90s.  Rain chances increase considerably on Tuesday and Wednesday, so pack the umbrella in the car tomorrow, that way you don’t forget on Tuesday. 

The tropics are becoming a little more interesting.  We are watching a series of waves move west across the central Atlantic and all have the potential to become a tropical depression in the next few days.  We will continue to monitor the tropics each day and remember you can get an update at any time.  Just go the LIVE5NEWS.com and click on the Hurricane Center.  Also, don’t forget the Live 5 Hurricane Hotline - 402-5800.

What a great finish today to the PGA Championship.  Padraig Harrington came from behind to win his second major in a row.  That was the final major of 2008 and golf fans are already looking forward to next year’s Masters and hoping Tiger is back, I know I am. 

That’s it for today.  Catch us tonight on the FOX 24 News at 10 and of course Live 5 News at 11.  J. Chad is back in the morning followed by Bill and Scott in the afternoon.  Have a great Monday and keep an eye on the tropics.

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Aug 10 2008

Nice Break From The Humidity

Ahh, finally a well deserved break from the humidity.  After the hottest week of the year we have much drier air that continues to push into the Lowcountry.  While it will remain on the hot side, at least it won’t be as uncomfortable.  Our pleasant summer weather will last through at least Monday before some changes into midweek.

Thankfully, the tropics remain quiet, but we all know that we are now heading into the most active part of the season.  Stay prepared and informed and we’ll keep our fingers crossed hoping that whatever develops out there for the rest of the season stays in the Atlantic.  That’s what we call a “fish storm” because it bothers no one but the fish in the ocean. 

Thats it for now.  Enjoy the rest of the weekend folks and head for the beach.  Nothin’ could be fina’ than the weather in South Carolina !!

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Aug 04 2008

Tropical Storm Edouard Forms

Our fifth named storm of the season is now in the Gulf of Mexico.  Tropical Storm Edouard has formed in the northern Gulf of Mexico.  It is moving slowly westward and will have no impact on our weather.  Edouard may become a minimal hurricane before making landfall on Tuesday somewhere along the east coast of Texas. 

The heat will continue to be the big story around here for much of the week.  High temperatures the next few days will be in the mid to upper 90s with a heat index in the triple digits.

Can you believe that tonight is the first preseason NFL game.  The summer is flying by.  Before you know it we’ll be watching college football as well.  And don’t forget the baseball playoffs, even though I’m a diehard Yankee fan (born and bred in NJ), its nice to see Tampa at the top of the AL East, at least for now. 

Alright, time to get the FOX graphics ready for the big 10 PM newscast.  Take care and have a great week !!

Brad

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Aug 03 2008

The Dog Days Are Here

Not much change to the forecast over the next few days.  The hottest weather so far this summer will settle in across the area for the next several days.  Another Heat Advisory will be in effect on Sunday afternoon.  Highs will once again soar into the mid to upper 90s and when you factor in the humidity, it will feel like 105 degrees.  Take it easy over the next few days and drink plenty of water. 

Rain will be scarce over the next few days, however we are tracking a potent line of storms right now across the midlands.  Some of these storms may hold together and provide us with a pretty good light show in the wee hours of the morning. 

The tropics have a few suspect areas that we’re watching, but nothing to effect us anytime soon.  Anyway, hope everyone is enjoying the first weekend of August.  Keep cool and we’ll chat tomorrow.

Brad

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Jul 30 2008

Do You Like Reruns?

Just like an old 80s sitcom, today will be a rerun of yesterday.  Heat Advisory goes into effect again today at Noon and will continue until 7 PM.  Scattered thunderstorms will redevelop this afternoon and will have the potential to produce torrential rain, frequent lightning and gusty winds.  Looks like our weather will remain unsettled through Friday, before the high heat returns for the weekend.

Tropics for the moment remain quiet, but the National Hurricane Center continues to advertise the possibility of our next depression forming later today off the coast of Africa.  Either way, no effect on our weather, but just something to watch over the next week or so.

J. Chad will be back in the StormCenter tomorrow morning and of course you can catch me again this weekend.  Time for me to catch up on some shut eye.  Have a great Wednesday everyone and watch out for those storms later on !!

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Jul 29 2008

Another Steamer For Tuesday

You know its going to be hot when you come into the StormCenter at 3:30 in the morning and the temperature outside is still 80 degrees. Not much relief from the heat and humidity over the next few days. Another Heat Advisory goes into effect at noon today and continues until 7 PM. The heat index will once again be in the triple digits for much of the afternoon. Scattered storms will dot the landscape much like we saw on Monday and a few of these storms will produce heavy rain due to their slow movement.

Some changes to the overall weather pattern will take place later in the week. We’ll see a better chance for rain on Thursday and Friday and with the added cloud cover, temperatures will be more tolerable.

Anyway, thats about it for today. The tropics remain quiet and it looks like we’ll make it through July without any more named storms. Chief Meteorologist Bill Walsh returns to work this evening and J. Chad will be back in the weather chair on Thursday. Have a great day everyone and stay cool !!

Brad Miller

Live 5 Meteorologist

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Jul 28 2008

More Heat, More Humidity

Published by Brad under Forecast Discussion, Forecasts

Well the dog days of summer are here.  Climatologically this is the hottest week of the year.  What this means is that from this point on, our normal high temperature begins to fall from the low 90s.  This doesn’t mean we can’t see triple digit heat in August, but at least we know that intense heat becomes less of an issue in the coming months. 

A Heat Advisory remains in effect until 7 PM and will most likely be reissued on Tuesday.  Afternoon storms still are possible, but the high heat and humidity are the bigger story as high temperatures soar into the mid 90s and heat indices top out around 105 degrees.

The tropics are quiet and expected to remain this way through the end of the week.  Our next name on the list by the way is Edouard.

That’s it for Monday, hope you have a great start to the work week.  We’ll see you tomorrow.

Brad Miller

Live 5 Meteorologist

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Jul 24 2008

Nice & Quiet…Here and in the Atlantic!

Published by Chad under Forecast Discussion, Tropics

Calm but warm weather is returning to the Lowcountry and now that Dolly is inland over Texas, we shift our attention back to the waters to our east and all is looking fine here this morning. The peak of the hurricane season is still over a month away and we are ready for the “E” storm…Edouard. When will he arrive?

INVEST Visible Satellite
(Image Credit - Weather Underground) Visible Satellite Image of INVEST97

INVEST 97:
The visible pics of our large tropical wave over the eastern Atlantic this morning is not impressive at all. The circulation is very large and the center is devoid of any thunderstorms. The disturbance is also moving over cooler water, which is not favorable for development. Most of our forecast models do not develop this into a depression or beyond. All the forecast track guidance does show a northward turn to the central Atlantic in a few days due to the northward current position. We don’t expect any problems with 97 at all.

Atlantic Basin:
The rest of the Atlantic basin, Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean is fairly quiet. There are a few flare ups here and there along the ITCZ but thats about it. We do note that the long range GFS model does try and develop a system near Africa in about 5 days from a large wave but only time will tell.

Close To Home:
The end of the week and the weekend look great! Stay Cool and enjoy it!

Chad Watson
Live 5 Meteorologist

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Jun 10 2008

Still Hot & Steamy…Relief Ahead?

Published by Chad under Forecast Discussion, Tropics

Well, I can think of so may songs that could describe the heat wave that has suffocated the eastern half of the U.S…but I will spare you my horrible singing!

We are on the southern end of those high temps. It has been much worse for folks up in the big cities of the Northeast where the heat island effects have made it feel up to 10°-15° hotter on top of the heat index! We hopefully will see a few more showers and storms over the next few days as the big “heat ridge” over the region starts to move east and break down a bit. It was promising to see the isolated storms pop over the Midlands late yesterday afternoon. I expect that trend again today but don’t look for much around our backyards…nothing more than an isolated storm here or there.

Atlantic Satellite Picture
(Image Courtesy: Weather Underground)

The tropics are nice and quiet this morning. We do note a few flareups across the Atlantic Basin. One is just south of Cuba, west of Jamaica. There are no signs of development and the upper level winds over the region are not favorable for development over the next few days. Another wave has popped up just off the coast of Columbia near Panama. That wave is moving west and is not forecast to develop. It’s early in the season and as the map below shows, we are still a good ways from the peak of the season. June and July are usually slow months for developemnt

Tropical Season Timeline
(Image Courtesy: N.O.A.A.)

As we approach the peak of the season, the storm count really goes up. The waters of the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean and western nearshore Atlantic are typically early season breeding grounds for tropical trouble so we will watch them closely.

Stay cool and see you back here soon!

Chad Watson
Live 5 Meteorologist

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Jun 05 2008

Here Comes The Heat…Tropics Quiet!

Published by Chad under Forecast Discussion

Thursday Highs

Just take a look at those numbers above and you get the idea…It’s gonna be HOT! The humidity combined with the rising temps will bring the Heat Advisories back out today, early for this time of the year. The heat index values could rise as high as 102° to 108°. As you can see on the map above, it will be very possible for highs near the Savannah River to reach the triple digits, combined with the heat index, making for a dangerous mix. Make sure that if you are outside today, you take plenty of precautions to stay cool and hydrated. Want to know just how hot it feels outside? Take a look at the chart below and you will know:

Heat Index Chart
(Image Courtesy: National Weather Service)

Just remember…heat related health issues can kill. If you have been outside and don’t feel well, call 911 at once. You could be dehydrated, have heat exhaustion or be suffering from heat stroke. All require emergency treatment so take care of yourself today!

Looking elsewhere…the tropics are still quiet. There are no indications on our forecast models that development across the basin is on the way. There are a few waves here and there but conditions are not prime for storms to pop up over the next week or so. Things can always change and we will keep an eye on it for you!

Stay Cool Today!

Chad Watson
Live 5 Meteorologist

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